Showing posts with label low pressure. Show all posts
Showing posts with label low pressure. Show all posts

Monday, September 30, 2024

Extraordinary rains of September end 2024 (in the Darjeeling - Sikkim Himalaya).


Until the 23rd, the month of September 2024 for us in the Darjeeling-Sikkim Himalaya turned out to be very dry and inordinately hot, prompting a member of the SaveTheHill's What'sApp group 'Hazard Alerts' to write:

'What does it mean, no rain in Kalimpong, Sikkim or Darjeeling?? Paddy fields are drying, springs and streams have dried already, this year "MUL PHUTENA", meaning ground aquifers were not recharged completely. This situation warns of the chaotic food insurgency especially to those who wait for food from farmers. Poor farmers look at the sky, it looks blue, no cloud, and he screams for his hardships and crop failure. I'm a farmer, what option do I have now??'

Another member post this cartoon about the prevailing hot weather:

Then on 24Sep2024, another LOW pressure area, in a series of bumper to bumper lows which had formed in the Bay after 17July2024, developed as shown below:
IMD issued a number of press releases about the weather systems causing the heavy rain and likely weather which would ensue:

Based on IMD and other inputs, STH posted satellite imagery and weather updates continuously during the period in our WhatsApp groups 'Hazard Alerts, Hazard Alerts 2, Hazard Alerts 3' - we also used other social media handles to publicize the heavy rainfall warnings.

Rainfall data

On 29Sep2024, IMD gave us a GREEN (ie no warning after 3 days of RED warning and 1 day of orange warning in the above period) and we had a dry day after 5 days of non-stop rain.

The average monthly rainfall for September in Sub-Himalayan W Bengal and Sikkim is 388.1mm - the 5 day rainfall of Sept2024 end, as seen above came close to or in the case of many towns, exceeded the monthly average and thus we swung from a total deficiency of rain in the first three weeks of September to a gross excess of rain, all of the large volume of water coming at the end of the monsoons when the mountains are almost saturated with water. As such the impact of this unusual heavy rains was huge in the region.

IMPACT

Firstly and most importantly, there were no fatalities even though we did have many landslides and near misses.
Road Communications: NH10
The already poor state of road communications especially in the Teesta valley suffered further set backs.
Landslide on NH10 near Teesta bridge on 27Sep2024 (27 03 40.2 N 88 25 35.3 E)
Large landslide on NH10 near Melli (27.08388889N 88.45098611E)
Other places in the Teesta Valley
Flooded Darjeeling - Kalimpong road near Teesta bridge, 28Sep2024. The debris and sand deposits by the GLOF of Oct2023 had raised the level of the Teesta river by as much as 4-5m so heavy rain
always results in the river flooding this road.
Teesta Low Dam Project III at 27Mile and the flooded Bangay bazar bridge
(26°59´38.20´´N 88°26´32.83´´E)
Flood affected areas of Teesta bazar. As mentioned earlier, the GLOF of Oct2023 has pushed the riverbed levels up by 4-5m and as such the river runs perilously close to many densely populated areas - Melli, SIngtam and Rangpo to name a few. Heavy rain in the valley invariably results in flooding of these areas.
Melli town and stadium ( 27°05´23.03´´N 88°27´28.01´´). The stadium which was entirely covered by debris and sand by the GLOF in Oct2023 had been painstakingly cleaned by the town but it has been rendered unusable by the repeated flooding of the river.
The GTA Covid Hospital (27°04´48.63´´N 88°25´50.37´´E) lying derelict on the banks of the Rangeet river since the GLOF of Oct2023. Parts of the one lane road leading up to the hospital from Teesta Bazar has been under the river for a year now and the recent rains have inundated even more areas of the road.

Other parts of the Kalimpong and Darjeeling districts
Major landslide in the vicinity of Kalimpong town at the by-pass road, 7th mile (27 04 13.9 N 88 26 56.8 E). In Sep 2024, Kalimpong received less rain than Darjeeling and Kurseong and as such we never had as many landslides.This large landslide took place on 28Sep at around3.30pm.
Subsidence due to mountain stream erosion (jhora) in a densely populated area of Kalimpong municipality (27 03 47.0 N 88 27 45.8 E). The subsidence (seen here covered by plastic sheets to prevent water ingress) occurred during daytime on 28Sep2024 when the stream was gorged with runoff from upstream paved surfaces. My concern here is that this whole area is located above a landslide prone zone on which we have done a story in 2010.
Landslide in the Darjeeling Municipal area at Hooker Road, on 26Sep2024
Landslide at Lower Bhaktey bustee in Darjeeling

Sikkim received much less rainfall in late Sep2024 resulting in much less devastation and landslides.

I am sure there were many more unreported landslides and instances of flooding caused by the unusual heavy rains and we will keep updating this blog on the reports, when received. We will also be surveying the affected areas in due course of time.

My thanks to all HA members whose images and reports I have used liberally here and elsewhere - all with the intention of recording the event for posterity.

Documentation of parts of the above report was supported by Royal Enfield, as part of their Social Mission Initiative


Praful Rao
SaveTheHills
savethehills@gmail.com
9475033744












Sunday, January 30, 2022

October 2021 Rainfall data of some towns in the Darjeeling and Sikkim Himalayas

 The deluge of 18-19October 2021






Landslide occurrences for the month of Ocober 2021 along the route from Kalimpong to Lava have been compiled in our presentation here

PS: Deep regrets for the delay in this report - it is just that STH uses another social media platform ie What's App 'Hazard Alerts 1 & 2' for reporting weather, rainfall, landslide activity and so on.
What's App is an extremely popular social networking tool in this part of the world and STH has been making use of it extensively for the last 4 years as a medium to report on disaster related information.
 
Shreya Gurung
Praful Rao
SaveTheHills
Kalimpong district
Darjeeling - Sikkim Himalayas


Sunday, August 21, 2016

STH Stormwatch : The Movement of a Storm in 24hrs (20-21Aug2016)

As I write, this storm is very active over south Bengal where there is continuous but moderate rain, in Kalimpong we have thundershowers.
Update on the above storm  (22Aug2016)
The thunderstorm continued well into the night; rainfall data is given below. One person died in a fatal landslide at Samrik Paani, Pokhriabong, Darjeeling last night and NH10 which is an arterial highway linking Siliguri with Gangtok was blocked at Likhu Bhir (see below) and 10 other places.

Rainfall data of 21Aug2016 (in mm)
21Aug2016 started off as a hot sunny day. It clouded up in the afternoon and in Kalimpong it rained from approx 1530h till about 2130h.
Kalimpong : 45
Kurseong : 95.8
Siliguri : 18
Mal Bazar : 95
Gangtok : 14.8
Darjeeling : 74.6

Praful Rao,
Kalimpong,
Dist Darjeeling

Tuesday, August 16, 2016

STH stormwatch (16Aug2016) : Well marked low pressure in Bay is likely to intensify

Update (17Aug2016)
The 'well marked low' has intensified into a depression and is likely to move northwest wards.
Another low is expected in the same area around the 20Aug2016.


Praful Rao,
Kalimpong,
Dist Darjeeling

Thursday, June 30, 2016

Sunday, June 26, 2016

STH stormwatch : Low pressure area forms in Bay of Bengal and updates

Excerpt from IMD All India Weather Inference
'The low pressure area over westcentral Bay of Bengal off Coastal Andhra Pradesh now lies over west central & adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal off south Odisha, north Andhra Pradesh. Associated upper   air   cyclonic   circulation   extends   upto   7.6   Km   above   mean   sea   level   tilting   southwards   with height. It is likely to become well marked low pressure area during next 24 hours.'

We will keep a track of the storm and post updates as required.

Update on 27Jun2016 (evening)
a. The low pressure in the Bay of Bengal persists.
b. The low pressure in the Arabian sea has intensified into a depression and is expected to move westwards.

Praful Rao
Kalimpong,
Dist Darjeeling

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

STH Stormwatch (Updates) : The well marked low pressure area concentrates into a depression


Yesterday's well marked low has concentrated into a depression situated approx 240km SSE of Chennai. The system is likely to move NNW during next 12 hours and northwards thereafter along north Tamil Nadu and south Coastal Andhra Pradesh coast and likely to further intensify into a Deep Depression during next 48hrs - IMD
Update1 (All India Weather Inference of IMD- Evening).
The system is likely to move NNW towards north Tamil Nadu­/south Andhra Pradesh coast and further intensify into a deep depression during next 24 hours.
The system is likely to be close to Chennai during morning hours of 18May. It will move northwards and then recurve NNE and may intensify into a cyclonic storm during subsequent 24 hours.
(Italics are mine)

Praful Rao
Kalimpong,
Dist Darjeeling

Sunday, May 15, 2016

STH Stormwatch (2016) :- First Low Pressure Area (LOPAR) of the year forms in the Bay (and updates)

Excerpt of IMD Weather Inference of 14May2016 (Night)
"A low pressure area has formed over equatorial Indian Ocean and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal. It is likely to become well marked low pressure area and further concentrate into a depression during next 48 hours."

Websites and Links for watching/tracking severe weather  
1. Satellite images from IMD : IR and other images are available from IMD including animations. The images are updated every 30mins.
2. Cyclones in the Northern Indian Ocean :- see here
3. JTWC for tracks and images :- see here
4. Updated IR Imagery for aviation :- click on ICAO Area 'E' 
5. Worldwide Lightning location network :- Indicates lightning ie severe weather locations
6. STH stormwatch ie this blog.

Update 1 (15May2016- evening)
The above system has concentrated into a well marked LOPAR. It is likely to move northwestwards, become a deep depression and cross the Tamil Nadu coast between around 17May2016 (morning) - source


Praful Rao,
Kalimpong,
Dist Darjeeling

Wednesday, December 2, 2015

If this isn't a wake up call, what is? - Chennai (Meenambakam) airport on 02Dec2015

The image above shows aircraft on flooded tarmacs of Meenambakam Airport at Chennai on 02Dec2015.
STH has been monitoring and reporting the storms associated with the NE monsoons in the southern peninsular (see1, 2 and 3) and it is high time we start expecting the unexpected.


Praful Rao,
Kalimpong,
Dist Darjeeling

Thursday, November 26, 2015

STH Stormwatch (26Nov2015) - Another low expected in the Bay of Bengal

Low expected to form in the next 24hrs and most probably Tamil Nadu will get another bashing.

Praful Rao,
Kalimpong,
Dist Darjeeling

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

STH stormwatch (17Nov2015) : Update on the low position

As per IMD the well marked Low Pressure Area now lies off the Andhra Pradesh and North Tamil Nadu coast (see above).
Had it moved inland it would have weakened quickly - now that it is still in the Bay of Bengal, I hope it does not intensify further. The storm though not a depression or cyclone has caused enough fatalities and damage in Tamil Nadu already.

Praful Rao,
Kalimpong,
Dist Darjeeling

Thursday, July 9, 2015

STH stormwatch : The low pressure moves inland



'The low pressure area over northern parts of Gangetic West Bengal  and adjoining areas of Bihar and Jharkhand persists. Associated upper air cyclonic circulation extending upto 5.8 km above mean sea level also persists. The system would become more marked during next 24 hours'

Praful Rao,
Kalimpong,
Dist Darjeeling

Saturday, December 27, 2014

STH Stormwatch (27Dec2014) : Reporting a well marked low in south Bay of Bengal

The well marked low pressure is expected to intensify into a depression in the next 48hrs

Praful Rao,
Kalimpong,
Dist Darjeeling

Tuesday, November 11, 2014

Saturday, October 25, 2014

STH Stormwatch : Cyclone formation alert in the Arabian sea


IMetD is reporting a well-marked low pressure (see IR image on top of 6.30am today) in the south eastcentral Arabian sea, which is likely to intensify into a cyclone in the next 48h.
JTWC tracks are shown below.
It is amazing that a storm brewing so far away can spew clouding which is affecting us today - as I write it is turning cloudy in the Darjeeling-Sikkim Himalaya (see cloud trail in the IR image on top)

Praful Rao,
Kalimpong,
Dist Darjeeling

Sunday, September 21, 2014

Monsoon withdrawal dates and why it is raining in the Darjeeling-Sikkim region

As per IMetD the 'well marked low pressure has now moved to north Odisha adjoining Gangetic W Bengal and Jharkhand' resulting in the tremendous moisture incursion over our area (region 5 - see below) and the rain.
We are nearing the end of the monsoons and the earth is saturated with water; in this situation heavy, continuous rainfall as predicted by IMetD (see warning chart below) is certainly not good news.
Unfortunately, despite repeated  letters to concerned authorities many of the IMetD AWS/ARG stations are either unserviceable or give erroneous readings as such it is difficult to obtain the correct overall picture of precipitation in the area.


Praful Rao,
Kalimpong,
Dist Darjeeling