Sunday, October 5, 2025

Extreme rainfall event in the Darjeeling-Sikkim Himalayas: 04/05Oct20205 (Part I - 'The Rainfall')

 Thus far, in the SW monsoons of 2025 our region saw a deficiency of rainfall:

Sept2025 was especially dry in Kalimpong and with the monsoons expected to exit our region on 10Oct2025, one did not expect a major rainfall event.
What has been happening, however is that the Bay of Bengal has been inordinately active with bumper to bumper low pressure areas forming and many of them, after moving over land in a north westerly direction reaching as far as Rajasthan leading to excess rain in a normally arid area.

Origin of the extreme rainfall event.
Around the 29Sep2025, I posted a notice in our What's App group 'Hazard Alerts  or HA' stating a LOW was expected (by IMD) in the Bay on 01Oct2025:

The LOW pressure formed as forecast and quickly intensified into a depression by 02Oct2025
The above image was posted in our Whats App group (HA) on 02Oct2025,showing location of the depression, the forecast track and warnings issued by IMD.
An update to the forecast track of the 'deep depression' now showed the storm moving in a 'nearly northward direction' instead of the normally NW direction.
As forecast, the storm (now a well marked LOW) on 03Oct2025, reached parts of east UP (see below) and was almost stationery there until 04Oct2025.
The storm finally started moving as predicted in a NNE direction, heading directly towards Bihar, SHWB (Sub Himalayan W Bengal) and Sikkim at approx 3pm on 04Oct2025 (yesterday), below:

In the top image, do note the density of lightning strikes which were taking place.

Rainfall data
03Oct2025: Despite having a RED warning for heavy rain, our entire region received very little rain. I distinctly recollect that in Kalimpong (my home), it was a densely overcast day which turned stormy around midday but except for some drizzle, there was no precipitation.

 04Oct2025: I was monitoring the Davis Automatic Weather stations in our area and we had light rain from  around midday. At Kalimpong, it started thundering in the late evening and by 7.30pm, the thunder had intensified. Thereafter, the rainfall, lightning and thunder continued thru the night with little or no break
windy.com image of 11pm/04Oct, just when lightning and rain was increasing over our area. The storm had moved from its earlier location and was approaching us from the SW.

Rainfall Intensity at Kalimpong
The above graph showing the rainfall intensity at Kalimpong on 04Oct2025, also shows the duration of the rainfall. Peak intensity of rainfall almost hit 150mm/hr and almost the entire 158mm of rain came down between 8pm and 4am ie 8hrs.
Lightning strikes at 3.30am/05Oct2025. The storm exited our area and continued NE wards about an hour later having killed 23 people.
Rainfall readout from our Davis AWS at Kurseong at 4.13am on 05Oct2025 (today). Kurseong is known to have heavy rainfall and has some very large landslides there. The rainfall from the extreme event was 393mm.

Praful Rao
SaveTheHills
savethehills@gmail.com
9475033744

We will cover the casualties as well as the damage done by one day's rainfall on 04/05Oct2025 in Part II to this post.

No comments: